Copa Peru Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Carlos Stein vs Miguel Grau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
3.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-91%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlos Stein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
GRA
3 - 0
FCS
4%
10%
87%
|
66 | 15 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
AGP
1 - 1
FCS
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 2
AGP
48%
23%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Miguel Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
GRA
3 - 0
FCS
4%
10%
87%
|
15 | 66 | 51 | 0 |