Carlos Stein vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlos Stein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
SRP
7 - 1
FCS
79%
15%
7%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 1
COM
16%
22%
63%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 4
LOS
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
LLA
4 - 3
FCS
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 3
SFC
26%
26%
49%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 2
SAM
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
PIR
1 - 2
AUN
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
AUN
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
AUN
1 - 0
COM
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 0
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |