Carlos Stein vs Alfonso Ugarte de Puno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlos Stein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
AYA
7 - 0
FCS
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 1
AUR
18%
21%
61%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 3
SAM
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
PIR
2 - 2
FCS
57%
22%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 3
UNI
18%
21%
61%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
ALF
3 - 1
SAM
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
PIR
4 - 1
ALF
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
ALF
16%
21%
63%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 2
AUN
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SRP
3 - 1
ALF
54%
23%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |