Europa League Last 16
Global 4-1
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
BFC
3 - 0
CZJ
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
CZJ
2 - 1
BCB
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
CZJ
1 - 1
MOL
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1977 |
MOL
1 - 1
CZJ
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
MAG
4 - 1
CZJ
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
BER
3 - 1
SDL
24%
29%
47%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
SDL
4 - 1
RAA
82%
12%
7%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
SDL
4 - 1
AEK
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
AEK
2 - 2
SDL
41%
25%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
MOL
1 - 2
SDL
54%
23%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |