FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1991 |
HOM
0 - 0
CZJ
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
CZJ
2 - 0
HAL
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
CHE
0 - 2
CZJ
46%
28%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
CZJ
2 - 1
MUN
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1991 |
DAR
3 - 1
CZJ
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | -3 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
ERF
0 - 3
WAL
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
REU
3 - 1
ERF
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
SAA
4 - 0
ERF
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
ERF
1 - 3
LOK
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
SCF
6 - 0
ERF
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -2 |