FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1989 |
BWA
0 - 0
CZJ
46%
29%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1989 |
CZJ
1 - 0
BIS
79%
15%
7%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
LOK
1 - 0
CZJ
64%
23%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
CZJ
1 - 1
STA
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1989 |
FCU
2 - 0
CZJ
38%
29%
34%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1989 |
ERF
1 - 0
CHE
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1989 |
HAL
3 - 0
ERF
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
ERF
2 - 2
COT
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1989 |
MAG
1 - 0
ERF
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
ERF
0 - 0
BSV
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |