FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
HAL
1 - 0
CZJ
39%
26%
34%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
CZJ
3 - 0
ZWI
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
CZJ
2 - 3
CRV
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
CZJ
3 - 0
BWA
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
FVF
2 - 2
CZJ
26%
28%
47%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
ERF
0 - 1
FVF
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
BFC
1 - 0
ERF
84%
11%
5%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
ERF
2 - 2
CHL
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
MAG
2 - 1
ERF
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
ERF
3 - 1
BSG
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |