FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
48.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1997 |
F95
2 - 2
CZJ
68%
20%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1997 |
HAN
1 - 1
CZJ
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
ZWI
0 - 3
CZJ
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1997 |
CZJ
2 - 2
M05
43%
25%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1997 |
STP
2 - 1
CZJ
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
S04
1 - 1
MSV
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
MSV
2 - 2
KOL
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1997 |
MSV
1 - 0
EIN
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1997 |
MSV
0 - 1
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
BYM
3 - 0
MSV
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |