FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
M05
3 - 0
CZJ
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
CZJ
2 - 1
ARB
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
CHE
3 - 0
CZJ
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1996 |
CZJ
0 - 0
WAL
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
CZJ
1 - 0
UNT
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
MSV
1 - 1
UNT
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1996 |
ZWI
1 - 0
MSV
37%
28%
36%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1996 |
WOL
3 - 1
MSV
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1996 |
MSV
0 - 2
WAT
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1996 |
KÖL
1 - 1
MSV
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |