FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
CHL
0 - 2
CZJ
22%
22%
55%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BAK
1 - 5
CZJ
43%
23%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CZJ
0 - 2
BRE
6%
13%
82%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
CZJ
3 - 0
HER
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
BFC
1 - 1
CZJ
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 1
BAK
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
HER
1 - 2
LUC
64%
19%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
LUC
2 - 5
BFC
41%
24%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
LOK
3 - 0
LUC
64%
19%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 2
UNI
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |