FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
CZJ
3 - 0
OBE
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
SON
0 - 4
CZJ
14%
21%
66%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
CZJ
2 - 1
ENE
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
ERF
0 - 5
CZJ
12%
18%
70%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
CZJ
2 - 0
DRE
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
UNT
1 - 2
SGF
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
SGF
1 - 0
RWA
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
SGF
2 - 0
LUB
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
MSV
1 - 1
SGF
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
SGF
1 - 2
ARB
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |