FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Fortuna Chemnitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
DRE
2 - 0
CZJ
15%
21%
65%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
CZJ
5 - 0
SON
80%
14%
7%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
POS
0 - 1
CZJ
12%
19%
69%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2002 |
LOK
4 - 1
CZJ
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
CZJ
3 - 2
DRE
70%
18%
11%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
FCH
0 - 1
LOK
16%
25%
59%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
FCH
1 - 1
MAG
15%
22%
62%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
DRE
2 - 0
FCH
58%
24%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
ZWI
2 - 1
FCH
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
FCH
0 - 3
HAL
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |