FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
LOK
1 - 2
CZJ
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2000 |
FCU
2 - 0
CZJ
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CZJ
0 - 0
DRE
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
BFC
0 - 2
CZJ
31%
27%
43%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
CZJ
2 - 0
STA
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
TEN
2 - 3
ERZ
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ERZ
2 - 0
LOK
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2000 |
ERZ
2 - 3
LAS
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
DRE
0 - 0
ERZ
47%
25%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
ERZ
1 - 0
BFC
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |