FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
CZJ
1 - 2
AUG
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
KAI
2 - 3
CZJ
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
CZJ
2 - 1
ERZ
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
OSN
1 - 1
CZJ
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CZJ
0 - 1
HOF
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
ARB
2 - 0
STU
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
BVB
6 - 1
ARB
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ARB
0 - 1
BYM
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
BOC
3 - 0
ARB
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ARB
3 - 1
FCN
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |