Copa de Ferias Quarter-finals
Global 4-6
FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1970 |
UJP
0 - 3
CZJ
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1970 |
CZJ
1 - 0
UJP
67%
18%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
CAG
0 - 1
CZJ
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
CZJ
2 - 0
CAG
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
CZJ
3 - 1
VOW
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1970 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1970 |
GAE
1 - 3
AJA
25%
26%
50%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
AJA
4 - 1
AZA
90%
6%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
MVV
1 - 1
AJA
17%
24%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1970 |
AJA
4 - 0
NAP
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |