FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
MSV
3 - 0
CZJ
41%
26%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
BFC
1 - 0
CZJ
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
CZJ
3 - 2
BWA
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
CZJ
0 - 0
MSV
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
ERF
1 - 2
CZJ
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
BWA
2 - 1
FCU
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
FCU
3 - 1
HAL
36%
28%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
CHE
0 - 0
FCU
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
FCU
2 - 1
BCB
43%
27%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
SGD
3 - 1
FCU
86%
10%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |