FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.7%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
84.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.8%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.5%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LOK
0 - 0
CZJ
44%
23%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
CZJ
1 - 2
ALT
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BAK
1 - 0
CZJ
43%
23%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
WUR
1 - 2
CZJ
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
CZJ
6 - 1
PLA
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
KOL
1 - 1
RJC
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
KOL
2 - 1
ELV
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
KOL
2 - 0
SCH
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
KOL
3 - 2
BYM
1%
6%
93%
|
78 | 95 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MSV
1 - 1
KOL
13%
17%
70%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |