FC Cajamarca vs Tacna Heroica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5929%
+240%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
VAL
0 - 0
FCC
69%
20%
11%
|
32 | 75 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FCC
3 - 0
PIR
19%
22%
60%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | +8 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
MAN
5 - 1
FCC
68%
20%
13%
|
24 | 69 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
FCC
1 - 0
FSM
23%
25%
53%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
DAG
1 - 0
FCC
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tacna Heroica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
EGB
2 - 2
UCV
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
EGB
2 - 1
COM
25%
27%
48%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
CAN
2 - 2
EGB
72%
18%
11%
|
24 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
EGB
4 - 0
SFC
21%
25%
54%
|
21 | 65 | 44 | +3 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
EGB
2 - 0
SAM
17%
22%
62%
|
20 | 61 | 41 | +1 |