Bülach vs Widnau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
74.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
13º
4º
50
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bülach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LAC
2 - 1
FCB
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
FCB
5 - 2
FCD
35%
25%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -3 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
KRE
2 - 2
FCB
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
FCB
3 - 1
WID
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
BAZ
4 - 1
FCB
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
WID
1 - 2
STG
3%
9%
88%
|
31 | 81 | 50 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WID
0 - 1
FCT
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 2
WID
37%
21%
42%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
WID
1 - 2
UST
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SVS
2 - 0
WID
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |