Bosna Neuchâtel vs Muri-Gümligen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
60.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2312%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
16º
5º
35
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosna Neuchâtel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 0
FBN
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FBN
3 - 1
BIN
12%
16%
72%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | +5 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FBN
4 - 2
LER
11%
15%
73%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | +3 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FBN
1 - 1
FCU
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 1
FBN
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Muri-Gümligen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
GUM
1 - 1
OLD
28%
20%
52%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GUM
1 - 3
FCL
82%
12%
7%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FCU
3 - 0
GUM
35%
22%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GUM
0 - 0
DUD
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
TAV
5 - 6
GUM
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |