FC Boshuizen vs Excelsior .20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Boshuizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GDA
1 - 3
FCB
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FCB
3 - 1
SJC
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
HVV
2 - 3
FCB
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UVS
3 - 2
FCB
41%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 0
VEL
58%
20%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 2
VEL
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 1
PAN
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VUC
4 - 0
EXC
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 2
PAP
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NIE
2 - 3
EXC
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |