Blau-Weiß Linz vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
6º
46
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blau-Weiß Linz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALT
0 - 1
FCB
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 0
LAS
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
3 - 1
FCB
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
FCB
9%
15%
76%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 0
RAP
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 2
STR
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STR
0 - 3
WOL
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 1
STR
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
STR
4 - 1
KAP
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STR
4 - 2
WAT
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |