Biberist vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
76.1%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biberist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SCH
2 - 1
BIB
86%
9%
5%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BIB
1 - 2
ZOF
8%
13%
79%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ROT
2 - 2
BIB
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BIB
2 - 2
DIE
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
DUL
3 - 1
BIB
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
AAR
1 - 2
BST
84%
10%
6%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ZOF
3 - 0
AAR
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
DIE
1 - 2
AAR
42%
22%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AAR
5 - 2
FCW
16%
21%
63%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
OLT
1 - 0
AAR
18%
20%
62%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |