Besa Biel/Bienne vs FC Châtel-St-Denis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
14º
3º
40
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Biel/Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BBB
3 - 2
FAR
72%
15%
12%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCE
0 - 1
BBB
35%
22%
44%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BBB
2 - 0
FCP
72%
15%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 2
BBB
20%
19%
62%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BBB
7 - 2
DUD
48%
21%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
FC Châtel-St-Denis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCC
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
GUM
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 0
FCC
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
7 - 3
TPA
54%
20%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 3
FCE
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |