Bazenheid vs Wil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
49.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
12º
16º
16º
37
1º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
UST
1 - 1
BAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BAZ
2 - 2
DUB
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 1
BAZ
76%
15%
10%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BAZ
1 - 0
FRA
22%
20%
57%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
RSZ
3 - 0
BAZ
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
ALT
71%
15%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SEE
6 - 1
WIL
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 3
DSG
60%
18%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 2
WIL
17%
18%
65%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UST
2 - 2
WIL
23%
21%
57%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |