Bazenheid vs Widnau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
57%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
12º
16º
16º
61
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAZ
1 - 3
ARB
77%
14%
10%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 0
BAZ
17%
19%
64%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BAZ
0 - 1
SEE
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BAZ
3 - 4
FCB
54%
20%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 2
BAZ
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
WID
0 - 1
DSG
65%
17%
18%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
WID
4 - 0
ALT
79%
13%
9%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SEE
0 - 1
WID
38%
22%
41%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WID
3 - 0
DUB
67%
17%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
TAG
2 - 7
WID
15%
17%
68%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |