Bazenheid vs Lachen/Altendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
13º
5º
40
5º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 4
BAZ
54%
21%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAZ
0 - 1
FCR
42%
22%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AMR
2 - 3
BAZ
45%
24%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAZ
4 - 1
DSG
58%
19%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FCR
0 - 5
BAZ
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lachen/Altendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LAC
2 - 4
FCB
23%
19%
59%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
WID
3 - 2
LAC
57%
20%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LAC
0 - 0
FCT
62%
18%
19%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
8 - 4
LAC
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LAC
2 - 3
UST
80%
12%
8%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |