Bazenheid vs Adliswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
16º
10º
34
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
WID
2 - 1
BAZ
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAZ
2 - 3
LAC
57%
20%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BAZ
2 - 0
UST
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FCR
2 - 5
BAZ
46%
22%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAZ
5 - 1
FCW
50%
20%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Adliswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 2
FCR
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 2
FCA
41%
23%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 3
WIL
47%
22%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DSG
0 - 1
FCA
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
FCB
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |