Bazenheid vs Arbon 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+112%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
12º
16º
16º
36
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 0
BAZ
17%
19%
64%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BAZ
0 - 1
SEE
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BAZ
3 - 4
FCB
54%
20%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 2
BAZ
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BAZ
3 - 1
DUB
58%
19%
23%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arbon 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 4
FRA
12%
15%
73%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ARB
0 - 7
WIL
7%
13%
80%
|
21 | 55 | 34 | -3 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ARB
1 - 4
YFJ
13%
19%
69%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
UST
6 - 1
ARB
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SIR
0 - 0
ARB
61%
20%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |