Bayern München II vs SV Wacker Burghausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
7º
4º
52
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
51 | 51 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
63.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 38 |
15º
|
63.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
4 - 0
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
3 - 0
TSA
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
BAY
12%
19%
69%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
3 - 2
ILL
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 2
BAY
14%
19%
67%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
SV Wacker Burghausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
NUR
3 - 1
WAC
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
WAC
0 - 0
ANS
53%
23%
25%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 0
WAC
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
WAC
0 - 1
EIN
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TSA
3 - 2
WAC
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |