FC Borgo vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
11º
1º
37
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
FBB
1 - 0
SAI
67%
18%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
AGC
0 - 0
FBB
12%
21%
68%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FBB
3 - 1
CAE
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FBB
1 - 1
GRQ
87%
8%
4%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 1
FBB
27%
25%
49%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
3 - 0
ALE
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 3
SAI
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 3
ALE
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 4
AGC
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
GIN
2 - 0
ALE
14%
18%
68%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | -3 |