FC Borgo vs Caen PTT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
11º
1º
29
10º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
AJA
1 - 2
FBB
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FBB
3 - 1
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
DIV
3 - 2
FBB
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FBB
2 - 0
ALE
86%
10%
4%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
FBB
1 - 0
SAI
67%
18%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CAE
1 - 0
SAI
27%
23%
51%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
AGC
1 - 2
CAE
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
0 - 2
CAE
26%
21%
53%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GRQ
2 - 4
CAE
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
2 - 2
BAS
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |