Switzerland U18 Elite League Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
FC Basel U18 vs Aarau U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TAA
3 - 3
FCB
11%
14%
76%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NXA
1 - 4
FCB
3%
7%
89%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCB
5 - 0
FCZ
65%
18%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TWC
0 - 3
FCB
21%
18%
61%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 3
BYB
35%
21%
44%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TAA
3 - 3
FCB
11%
14%
76%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
TAA
3 - 1
GCZ
51%
20%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
TTI
0 - 3
TAA
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TAA
1 - 0
FCS
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 1
TAA
71%
15%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |