FC Basel U18 II vs T. AFF-FFV Fribourg U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
12º
1º
34
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel U18 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TVA
8 - 0
FCB
6%
12%
82%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 3
FCS
68%
17%
16%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BSC
3 - 4
FCB
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SUD
0 - 5
FCB
34%
21%
45%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCB
4 - 1
FCL
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
T. AFF-FFV Fribourg U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TAF
4 - 1
SUD
68%
17%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 1
TAF
45%
22%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TAF
5 - 2
FCV
86%
10%
5%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TAF
5 - 5
RAP
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FCZ
4 - 2
TAF
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |