FC Basel U16 vs Team Aargau U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.9%
Win probability
3.91
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.3%
6-0
6%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.9%
5-0
9.2%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.7%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
5.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.1%
1.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
8º
2º
20
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 1
FCB
11%
14%
75%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCB
4 - 3
TTC
93%
5%
2%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 3
FCB
4%
9%
87%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 0
SFC
77%
13%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 3
FCB
19%
18%
63%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Team Aargau U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TMA
2 - 4
FCT
72%
15%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TMV
4 - 0
TMA
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TMA
1 - 4
FCZ
6%
12%
82%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
WNT
6 - 3
TMA
71%
15%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TMA
1 - 4
FCB
6%
11%
83%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |