FC Basel U16 vs FC Thun U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.7%
Win probability
3.84
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4%
6-0
5.8%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.6%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.4%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.3%
1.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+200%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
8º
2º
18
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TMV
1 - 2
FCB
20%
18%
62%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCZ
2 - 1
FCB
34%
20%
46%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
WNT
1 - 5
FCB
12%
15%
73%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
YNB
3 - 3
FCB
28%
20%
52%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 0
NXA
94%
5%
2%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thun U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
STG
3 - 1
FCT
66%
17%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TMV
3 - 1
FCT
86%
9%
5%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 7
FCZ
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WNT
3 - 0
FCT
77%
14%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
0 - 4
YNB
12%
15%
73%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |