FC Basel U16 vs FC Luzern U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
8º
2º
46
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TTC
1 - 4
FCB
5%
10%
85%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCB
4 - 3
FCS
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SFC
3 - 2
FCB
23%
19%
58%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCB
1 - 2
GRA
83%
11%
7%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
STG
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Luzern U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
LUZ
7 - 1
FCT
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TMV
6 - 1
LUZ
59%
19%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 5
FCZ
20%
19%
61%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WNT
0 - 4
LUZ
54%
20%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 4
YNB
39%
22%
40%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |