Switzerland U17 League Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
FC Basel U17 vs Winterthur U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
17.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1145%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
WIN
4 - 2
FCB
19%
18%
64%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SER
1 - 2
FCB
28%
20%
52%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCB
12%
15%
73%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FCB
2 - 0
FCT
53%
21%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FCB
2 - 0
FCL
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
WIN
4 - 2
FCB
19%
18%
64%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
TTC
0 - 3
WIN
32%
21%
47%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
WIN
4 - 3
FCL
25%
20%
55%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
WIN
1 - 1
SIO
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
WIN
6 - 4
YNB
19%
18%
62%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +2 |