FC Barreirense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FCB
2 - 2
JUV
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
FCB
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FCB
1 - 1
ATL
59%
23%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 2
FCB
27%
22%
51%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FCB
3 - 1
PIN
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 2
LUS
45%
22%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LUS
4 - 1
FCC
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
LUS
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
COV
2 - 1
LUS
60%
22%
17%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 2
COV
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |