FC Barreirense vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 1
FCB
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FCB
2 - 0
LOU
59%
23%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MOU
0 - 0
FCB
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COV
3 - 1
FCB
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FCB
2 - 0
LUS
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 3
LOU
34%
24%
43%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COV
0 - 0
FCC
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 1
JUV
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 1
ATL
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PIN
2 - 2
FCC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |