FC Balzers vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Balzers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
RAP
3 - 1
FCB
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ZUG
3 - 1
FCB
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 2
HON
78%
14%
9%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 0
FCB
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 4
ESC
32%
23%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FCM
0 - 2
LUG
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 2
MEN
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
KRE
0 - 0
LUG
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCG
58%
21%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
LUG
4 - 1
GCB
41%
24%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +3 |