Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-11
FC Balzers vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Balzers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1993 |
CSK
8 - 0
FCB
94%
5%
1%
|
37 | 79 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1993 |
DOB
1 - 1
CSK
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
CSK
4 - 1
OFK
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1993 |
CSK
8 - 0
FCB
94%
5%
1%
|
79 | 37 | 42 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1993 |
CSK
3 - 0
BER
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1993 |
LSO
0 - 1
CSK
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |