Bagnols-Pont vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
14º
14º
41
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnols-Pont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ROD
7 - 1
FBP
72%
16%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FBP
1 - 2
FCA
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TOU
5 - 1
FBP
76%
15%
10%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FBP
4 - 3
BAL
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
USJ
0 - 0
FBP
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
BEA
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ONE
0 - 1
CAS
30%
23%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 4
AGD
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BEZ
0 - 0
CAS
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |