Baar vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
40.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ESC
0 - 1
FCB
45%
24%
32%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
4 - 1
LSS
45%
23%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
EMM
1 - 0
FCB
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 0
FCA
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VED
1 - 1
FCB
39%
24%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HER
4 - 0
VED
73%
16%
10%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BUO
2 - 2
HER
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
SAR
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HER
3 - 1
LSS
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HER
3 - 2
RUS
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |