Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
AVA
0 - 2
PYU
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
GAN
0 - 4
AVA
27%
25%
49%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
2 - 3
AVA
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
PYU
0 - 2
AVA
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
PYU
0 - 4
AVA
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SHI
1 - 1
BAN
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
BKM
3 - 2
SHI
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SHI
0 - 1
VAN
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
SHI
1 - 3
ARA
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 2
SHI
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |