Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
9º
3º
36
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
AVA
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
AVA
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 0
AVA
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
PAI
0 - 0
AVA
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 0
PAI
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SHI
0 - 0
ARA
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PYU
1 - 0
SHI
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
SHI
0 - 2
BAN
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BKM
0 - 1
SHI
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 3
SHI
14%
21%
66%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |