Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 3
AVA
20%
25%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
AVA
2 - 1
LIE
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 0
TEK
91%
7%
2%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
UFA
1 - 2
AVA
35%
24%
41%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
AYI
2 - 7
AVA
16%
19%
65%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SHI
3 - 0
NOA
36%
31%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
OLY
1 - 1
SHI
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
VAN
3 - 3
SHI
11%
19%
70%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
GAN
1 - 0
SHI
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SHI
1 - 3
ALA
26%
28%
47%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |