Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak analysis


62	ELO	72
8.5%	Tilt	10.7%
1417º	General ELO ranking	1882º
3º	Country ELO ranking	9º
ELO win probability

31.8%

Ararat-Armenia

28.5%

Draw

39.7%

Shirak

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

31.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%

28.5%

Draw

0-0

10.3%

1-1

13.2%

2-2

4.2%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

<0%

0

28.5%

39.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+27%

-15%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ararat-Armenia

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Aug. 2018	ALA 1 - 3 AVA 64% 21% 15%	59	73	14	0
22 Aug. 2018	AVA 0 - 0 GAN 33% 29% 38%	59	73	14	0
19 Aug. 2018	PYU 3 - 1 AVA 60% 23% 17%	59	70	11	0
11 Aug. 2018	AVA 1 - 2 ARA 62% 21% 17%	59	55	4	0
04 Aug. 2018	FCL 0 - 2 AVA 59% 23% 18%	56	66	10	+3

Matches

Shirak

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
29 Aug. 2018	SHI 0 - 0 ALA 38% 28% 34%	73	72	1
25 Aug. 2018	GAN 1 - 1 SHI 45% 27% 28%	73	73	0
22 Aug. 2018	SHI 1 - 2 PYU 43% 28% 28%	73	71	2
19 Aug. 2018	ARA 0 - 0 SHI 22% 26% 53%	73	56	17
12 Aug. 2018	SHI 1 - 1 FCL 54% 27% 19%	73	65	8