Ararat-Armenia vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
AVA
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 2
AVA
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
VAN
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 1
NOA
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 0
NOV
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
PAI
1 - 2
DTB
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
DTB
2 - 3
PAI
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 1
PAI
12%
22%
67%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
TJK
1 - 2
PAI
20%
23%
57%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
PAI
1 - 1
KUR
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |