Ararat-Armenia vs Noravank analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 2
PYU
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
BKM
2 - 3
AVA
22%
28%
50%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
ALA
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AVA
3 - 0
ARA
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
AVA
3 - 0
BAN
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Noravank
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
PYU
2 - 0
NOV
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 1
BAN
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BKM
2 - 0
NOV
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
VAN
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 0
NOV
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |